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Why Stated Values Die at Checkout

Why Stated Values Die at Checkout

Rhys Fisher
April 26, 2025 • By Rhys Fisher

When it’s your money on the line, do you really pay double for "Made in USA"? Ramon tested it with real shoppers and walked away empty handed. We tested real-time buyer decisions using role-playing agents, and the results might surprise you.

How to Prompt in Rally: It’s Different Than GPT

How to Prompt in Rally: It’s Different Than GPT

Rhys Fisher
April 23, 2025 • By Rhys Fisher

Prompt engineering got its hype moment when Anthropic flashed a $225 K salary for anyone who could bend words into gold. Rally raises the stakes. It lets you address a stadium of GPT personas at once—but that power demands a new playbook: virtual-audience simulation prompting. Treat the crowd like a poll (“How many of you prefer …?”) and you get lukewarm averages. Challenge them like a panel (“Pick A, B, or C—defend your choice”) and every agent steps up with sharp, contrasting takes that expose blind spots, trade-offs, and hidden opportunities. The gap between those two sentences is the difference between genuine market signal and background static. This article shows you how to close it.

I Predicted The Sentiment of +26,044 Post Replies—Before They Happened—With 82.7% Accuracy

I Predicted The Sentiment of +26,044 Post Replies—Before They Happened—With 82.7% Accuracy

Rhys Fisher
April 22, 2025 • By Rhys Fisher

What if you could see tomorrow’s social-media outrage unfold today—predicting thousands of angry comments before anyone even hits “reply”? I simulated future threads using AI personas, anticipated sentiment with near-perfect accuracy (up to 99.9%), and uncovered exactly how tiny shifts in prompts and audience design can make or break predictions. Here’s the play-by-play of that experiment, and why accuracy alone is meaningless without the context that shapes it.

Virtual Audience Simulation Canvas: Designing For LLM-Powered Synthetic Data Insights

Virtual Audience Simulation Canvas: Designing For LLM-Powered Synthetic Data Insights

Simara
April 17, 2025 • By Simara

Discover how researchers are using LLMs to create synthetic data simulating virtual audiences of role-playing agents that mimic real demographic behaviors and opinions. This article introduces the Virtual Audience Simulation Canvas—a practical framework for designing AI personas that avoid common pitfalls like demographic blind spots and sanitized responses. Discover how this approach is being applied across UX testing, marketing, and policy research to generate insights in days instead of months, while learning key techniques to improve simulation realism through belief anchoring and anti-memetic constraints that keep personas true to life.

LLM-Based Role-Playing Simulations: Demographic Gaps and Mitigation Strategies

LLM-Based Role-Playing Simulations: Demographic Gaps and Mitigation Strategies

Simara
April 16, 2025 • By Simara

As researchers increasingly employ large language models (LLMs) to role-play virtual survey respondents, significant demographic gaps have emerged in their accuracy and realism. Certain populations—such as older adults, racial minorities, women (particularly women of color), lower socioeconomic groups, and ideological centrists—are consistently underrepresented or misrepresented by these models. This post examines the underlying reasons for these demographic discrepancies, including biased training data, alignment-induced censorship, and oversimplified demographic interactions. It also presents practical strategies for mitigating these biases, outlining how thoughtful prompt engineering, targeted fine-tuning, and nuanced alignment adjustments can help create more authentic and inclusive LLM-based role-play simulations.

Reproducing Real-World Demographic Biases in AI Agent Simulations

Reproducing Real-World Demographic Biases in AI Agent Simulations

Simara
April 16, 2025 • By Simara

As researchers increasingly utilize large language models (LLMs) to simulate human behaviors and attitudes based on real-world demographic characteristics, important questions arise about how accurately these AI-generated agents replicate true demographic biases and preferences. While recent studies demonstrate promising alignment between simulated outputs and actual demographic trends—referred to as “algorithmic fidelity”—they also expose notable methodological challenges and limitations, including potential oversimplifications, exaggerated stereotypes, and inconsistent representations of marginalized groups. Understanding these nuances is essential for responsibly leveraging AI simulations as reliable proxies for real human populations in social science research.

Fast or Smart: How Do You Choose?

Fast or Smart: How Do You Choose?

Rhys Fisher
April 15, 2025 • By Rhys Fisher

With synthetic research and persona-driven prompting still in beta, little is known about how different AI models shape responses. In our simulated buying committee experiment, we found that more powerful models can replicate the complex decision-making seen in high-stakes human scenarios. If you want your synthetic research to truly mirror human thought, here's how choosing between Fast and Smart mode can unlock insights that reflect real-world nuance.